Beat Roulette With Math

The entire mathematics of roulette, along with the main categories and sub-categories of improved betting systems whose data fill dozens of tables, can be found in the book ROULETTE ODDS AND PROFITS: The Mathematics of Complex Bets. The book presents a rigorous mathematical model for the roulette bets, which can be generalized to several types. In Roulette, either Red or Black is guaranteed to win in 9 spins. In Baccarat, either Player or Banker is guaranteed to win in 9 hands. That is the overview of using Math as a Non Random way to beat roulette/baccarat. More details and examples to follow in next thread.

1. Street strategy refers to several roulette bets and systems. The first one is Street bet or Transversale Plein in French Roulette. It’s an “Inside bet” placed on three numbers with a payout rate 11:1. For this type of bet, the house edge is lower in European Roulette than in American Roulette.
2. The great majority of roulette systems attempt to use mathematics to beat roulette. And without knowing it, the system designer usually attempts to find a way around the mathematical certainty. Almost every roulette strategy makes the same mistakes. For example, on a European roulette wheel, there are 37 pockets, but the payout is unfair 35 to 1.

All gambling and casino games have a mathematical base. Some of them are easier to understand than others, but if you can dig down to the base math behind a game, you can easily understand the challenge of winning and how the casinos make money.

Once you understand the 5 mathematical facts about roulette in this article, you can make an informed decision about how often you should play and how much you should bet when you decide to play. You can’t do anything to beat roulette in the long run, and the facts on this page show you why this is true.

1 – Every Bet Has the Same House Edge

The house edge in roulette is determined by the odds and pay outs. The house edge is what dictates your long term results from playing roulette.
In fact, the house edge is a mathematical fact that can tell you exactly how much money you’re going to lose if you make a large number of wagers on the roulette wheel.

The reason why it has to be a large number of wagers is because over a short period of time or low number of spins, there’s a great deal of room for variance. But over a large number of wagers, the variance disappears and the results reach the expected value.

Don’t worry if all of this sounds a bit too mathematical for you. Here’s a simple explanation.

When you know the house edge of a wager, all you have to do is multiply the house edge times the total amount you wager to get how much you can expect to lose. The house edge for roulette wagers is either 5.26% or 2.7%.

If you bet $25 per spin and make 10,000 spins over the course of a year, you can quickly determine exactly how much you’re going to lose. If you play at a wheel with a 2.7% house edge, you’re going to lose $6,750. If you play at a wheel with a 5.26% house edge, you’re going to lose $13,150.

While this is bad news, because it means that no matter what you do you can’t win while playing roulette. But the good news is that all of the bets at a roulette table have the same house edge, so it doesn’t matter what wager you choose.

The difference between the tables that have a house edge of 5.26% and the ones with a 2.7% edge is how many 0 spaces the table has. You can learn more about this in section 3 below.

2 – Always Bet the Minimum Amount

In the first section you learned how every bet you can make playing roulette has the same house edge. In the next section you’re going to learn the difference between single and double 0 roulette wheels. But the important thing to understand in this section is that there’s always a house edge when you gamble on roulette.

You can’t do anything to alter the edge. This means that even if you get lucky playing roulette for a little while, over time you’re going to lose. You simply can’t overcome the mathematical advantage the roulette wheel has.

All of this leads to an important fact. Every time you place a wager on a spin of the roulette wheel you should make the smallest wager possible. In truth, the smallest wager possible is not making a bet at all. If you don’t make a wager you don’t lose any money.

You can play roulette for free at most online casinos, but when you play for free you can’t win any money when you get lucky.

The best option for roulette if you feel like you have to place some money on the line is to play at an online casino that offers low minimum wager limits. Many real money online casinos have roulette minimums as low as $1. And most of these same online casinos offer a deposit bonus, so you can usually double your bankroll before you start playing roulette.

Just don’t expect to ever cash any of your money out. The odds are quite low that you’re ever going to win enough playing roulette to overcome the play through requirements and have enough to collect any winnings.

3 – The Difference Between Single and Double 0 Roulette

Roulette is widely available, with most middle sized and larger casinos offering at least 1 wheel. Roulette wheels almost always have either a single 0 space, or a 0 space and a 00 space. You might occasionally find a different roulette option, but you should avoid any other versions because the house edge is even higher than the 2 main options.

The only difference between a single and double 0 roulette wheel that matters is the house edge. In the first section you learned the house edge on all roulette wagers is either 2.7% or 5.26%.

All of the wagering options on a single 0 roulette wheel have a house edge of 2.7%. All of the wagers except 1 on a double 0 roulette wheel have a house edge of 5.26%.

The only exception on a double 0 roulette wheel is called a basket wager or bet. The basket is a wager on 0, 00, 1, 2, and 3. This wager has a higher house edge.

Here’s the main fact that you need to focus on. If you’re going to play roulette, you need to play on a single 0 wheel. All other options are going to cost you more money.

The house edge is calculated based on the odds of the ball landing on a space you bet on and the pay out. A single 0 heel has 37 slots on the wheel, and a double 0 wheel has 38.

If you bet on even, you have 18 chances to win. This is 18 out of 37 on a single 0 wheel, and 18 out of 38 on a double 0 wheel. The return on a win is 1 to 1.

4 – Biased Wheels Are a Thing of the Past

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Not too long ago, it was possible to find roulette wheels that were biased. Either because of a flaw in the way they were made or because of wear, some roulette wheels didn’t return truly random results.

Smart roulette players tracked the results on wheels and were able to find these biased wheels. When a wheel is biased, it lands on a set of number located beside each other on the wheel more often than on other sections.

If you could identify a set of 4 numbers that were more likely to land than other groups, you would just place wagers on these 4 numbers and be able to overcome the house edge.

This would continue working until the casino replaced the biased wheel or forced you to stop playing.

The problem is that there aren’t biased wheels in casinos today. I’m not saying that it’s 100% certain that there’s never going to be a biased roulette wheel again, but the odds are so low that it’s not worth the time to try to find one.

Technology has made it easier for casinos to keep their wheels unbiased, and it’s also easier for them to identify biased wheels and replace them.

5 – No System Will Work

Roulette is a casino game that has spawned many systems over the years. You can still find gambling systems that claim they can help you beat roulette. If you haven’t seen any available, just do a quick search for roulette systems.

The most popular roulette system is the one where you double your bet after losses. This is called the Martingale system.

Most of the roulette systems that I’ve seen look good. Many of them even look like they might actually work. But once you dig into the math that they’re based on, you quickly learn that none of them really work.

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No matter how good a roulette system looks or sounds, in the end you’re going to lose exactly how much the house edge says you’re going to lose. Don’t make the mistake of using a roulette system. The best way to play is to stick with a single wager at the table minimum every time you play.

Conclusion

Now that you understand the math that roulette is based on, you can see that it’s not a game you can win. You can’t find a system that can beat the game and the only way to avoid losing money is to simply not risk any money.

Consider playing real money roulette for free if you enjoy the game, or play online and make small wagers if you have to place some real money at risk. Always remember though that you’re going to lose in the long run. The math proves this.

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Gamblers have been trying to overcome the house edge in roulette for centuries. Most of them have met little to no success.

But some of them have succeeded.

Some of them even learned how to predict the numbers when playing roulette.

That might be the best way to beat the game, in fact. After all, if you know which number is going to come up, you can guarantee that you’ll win your next bet.

1- Developing Your Innate Psychic Powers

I don’t believe in psychic powers, but I understand that some of my readers do believe. In fact, I have a close friend who’s a phone psychic, and he’s convinced that he really has “the gift.”

I just don’t think anyone has ever provided any convincing evidence of precognition in anything like a controlled setting.

But if you want to develop psychic powers to beat roulette, here are some tips I’ve found:

• Visualize your third eye.

My yoga teacher has me do this during our sessions. I don’t think it’s helped me with predicting the future, although the longer I’m sober, the better able to predict the future I become.

The idea is that your third eye is what’s going to be able to see the energy fields surrounding everything and help you predict the future.

• Meditate.

I’m a big fan of meditation because it has benefits that are entirely separate from trying to be able to tell the future. Meditation can help you lower stress, and it can help you be more present. It’s not hard to do, either. Start small and work your way up.

• Pray.

Some people firmly believe that by increasing their connection with God or the universe, they’re able to tap into intuition that isn’t available to other people who are cut off from the source.

Prayer and meditation put you in touch with the source of everything, which, in turn, enables you to predict the future with more accuracy.

Beat Roulette With Math Games

How you pray and meditate is, of course, up to you.

But I don’t know anyone who claims to have psychic powers who isn’t praying and/or meditating on a regular basis.

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2- Watching the Dealer

Do some roulette dealers hit specific numbers more often than other numbers because of their dealing habits?

If you could spot some kind of croupier tell or dealer signature in roulette, you could clean up.

Realistically speaking, though, dealers can’t force the ball to land on a specific number. That’s just not a realistic feat.

But you don’t need them to hit the same number repeatedly. You just need to know which section of the wheel the ball is most likely to land in. If you know that, you can bet all the numbers in that section and win more often than probability would lead you to win.

And you don’t even need a huge change in probability to make this worthwhile.

Most experts agree that so-called “sector slicing” isn’t a realistic way to predict even a subset of roulette numbers, but let’s look at the math of why that would be great if you could pull it off.

When you place a single number bet, you have a 1/38 probability of winning that bet. The payoff is 35 to 1, so the casino has an obvious edge.

But if the probability of landing on some numbers is better, say 1/34 instead of 1/38, then the edge tilts away from the casino and toward the player.

It’s possible, though, that a dealer lands in a specific section of the wheel more often than usual without even knowing it. After all, this is all muscle memory for the croupier. He releases that metal ball into action at a specific speed and at a specific time.

You might even want to track how far away from the release point the ball usually lands. Let’s say that the ball always lands 10 or 14 numbers away from where it’s released. You’d have a huge advantage being able to bet on those 10 or 14 numbers, even though the actual numbers would change every game.

3- Watching the Ball and the Wheel Closely

Twenty years ago, you could find numerous books and articles about how you could predict approximately where the ball will land just based on looking at it. Such a strategy isn’t widespread anymore, but is it possible?

First of all, you’d need to be able to gauge the speed of the ball and the speed of the roulette wheel. I’m not sure if you’ve spent much time at a roulette table, but just the idea of trying to do that boggles my mind.

The speed of the wheel is probably more important than the speed of the ball, but both matter. You also need to keep in mind that the ball is going to bounce around a little bit before falling into a numbered pocket.

Practically speaking, this strategy works like the dealer signature strategy. Only instead of looking for a trend unique to that dealer, you’re just watching the ball and the wheel and placing your bets quickly on what you predict based on the ball speed and wheel speed.

This might be worth a try, but I still wouldn’t gamble money I needed for other purposes on this approach.

4- Using a Device

Using a computer to predict where the ball will land in a roulette game is considered cheating. In Nevada, that’s a felony. You do NOT want to get caught doing this.

In fact, I recommend against even trying this. There are easier ways to get an edge when gambling that don’t involve the risk of going to jail.

But gamblers have used roulette computers to beat the game. Such a computer works like a radar gun that a highway patrolman uses – it tracks the speed of the ball. It also analyzes angles and predicts where the ball will land.

As with the other methods mentioned already, you’re going to bet on multiple numbers at once, not just one number.

Even a computer can’t predict a specific number with any kind of accuracy.

5 – Determining the Bias of a Wheel

It’s not just dealers that have a bias. Some wheels are imperfect, and they might have a bias toward and against specific numbers, too.

To find a biased wheel, you would need to track the results for at least 1000 spins. Even then, the margin of error could be significant. In any small set of random occurrences, some are going to deviate from what probability predicts.

That’s deviation, not bias.

A better approach might be to try to track 10,000 spins.

But you’ll run into a couple of problems with this advantage technique:

• The first is that you might spend all this time “clocking” a roulette wheel only to find that there’s no bias at all. Then you’ve just wasted your time.
• The second is that even if you find a roulette wheel you’re convinced has enough of a bias to make it worth your while, that wheel might move or be replaced at any time.

Finding a biased roulette wheel sounds like a great advantage strategy in theory.

But in real life, it isn’t practical at all.

6- Embrace the Gambler’s Fallacy

I can promise this technique for predicting the next roulette number won’t work, but we’ll talk about it anyway.

The Gambler’s Fallacy is when you believe that the probability of something that’s going to happen has somehow been affected by what’s already happened.

We know that it’s unlikely to get a red result eight times in a row on a roulette wheel. If the ball has landed on red seven times in a row, we might predict that the ball is surely going to land on black on the next spin.

Mathematically, that isn’t true.

But you might embrace it anyway and try to use that to inform your betting decisions.

It won’t help in the long run, but it’s as useful as any other strategy.

7- How to Predict the Next Roulette Outcome With 100% Accuracy

If you could tell your friend that you could predict that the ball will land in a specific number set, how could you be sure that you were correct 100% of the time?

Just predict that the ball will land on either a 0, a 00, or the numbers 1 through 36.

You could even bet on all those numbers, but if you did, you’d lose money consistently and repeatedly because of the house edge.

Conclusion

There are seven ways to predict roulette numbers. I’m not confident that you can use any of these methods consistently to win money in a modern casino but give any or all of them a try.

Well, except for the computer.

If you see some success – or even if you don’t – share your experiences in the comments.

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